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Since Monday, Italy in the yellow zone has relaxed the restrictions on consumption outside the home, with bars and restaurants that return to welcome customers at the table, but only in the outdoor spaces. A start, ominous in much of the country due to a weather that is anything but condescending, from which the consumption of wine and spirits will also restart. However, it will not be an overwhelming recovery, on the contrary. According to the analyst firm’s estimates TradeLab for Federvini, the probable and highly anticipated return of international tourism in the summer will not be enough to reverse the trend. According to forecasts, 2021 will close with a decrease in wine consumption outside the home of -37% and -41% of spirits, compared to the average of the last pre-Covid years.
In general, according to TradeLab’s analyzes, taking into consideration the number of rooms with outdoor seating, the different internal and external production capacity and an estimate of bad weather days, for the spring months the forecasts remain very severe. For the summer, however, a good result is expected in the summer months (July-September), in line with or higher than last year. and a gradual return of foreign tourists is expected. In the last quarter of the year an improvement is expected for the spirits sector, assuming the absence of restrictions on consumption even in the evening (given the good performance of the vaccination campaign) while the ban on opening nightclubs still remains.
At the level of individual Regions, the greatest decrease, as regards the consumption of wine away from home, also by virtue of the determining role of the climatic variable, will fall on the shoulders of Trentino Alto Adige (-46.8%)
, but it will not do well either in Umbria (-41.9%), Valle d’Aosta (-41.2%), Tuscany (-40.5%), Veneto (-39.4%), Lombardy (-38 , 3%) and Piedmont (-38.2%). Slightly better, but still with significant losses, it goes to Liguria (-37.5%), Friuli Venezia Giulia (-36.5%), Marche (-36.5%), Sicily (-35.5%), Lazio (-34.3%), Abruzzo (-34%), Campania (-30.1%) and Calabria (-29%). Finally, the four Regions in which, in 2021, wine consumption will mark the lowest decline compared to the averages of recent years: Sardinia (-27.3%), Molise (-26%), Basilicata (-21%) and Puglia (-19.1%).

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Marco Ribaudo

Marco Ribaudo

For the love of food and wine! Marco Ribaudo, Certified Sommelier, with 25 years in the food and beverage industry now invites you to join him in his latest adventure, the opening of la Cucina del Vino to share his culture and passion for creating unforgettable memories around the table.

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